Earth’s billions of people reside in nearly two hundred countries characterized by varying levels of development, governed by numerous forms of political organization, and adhering to the traditions of widely disparate cultures. Could it possibly be that these obviously different peoples conform to common patterns in when, how and why they go to war against others? One might be tempted to immediately answer “no” or at least “doubtful.” But others might answer “of course,” perhaps citing similarities such as taboos against incest that are common in virtually every culture and society. In this book I ask whether general knowledge about when wars are likely to occur is possible. In an attempt to understand war onset generally, I consider patterns of war and peace among the great powers, as well as in four minor power regions of the globe.
The research project culminating in this book began as a relatively straightforward effort to determine whether a well-established theory of great power interactions could be modified to help understand interactions among minor powers. The theory modified is power transition theory, which posits a hierarchical international system and emphasizes the importance of relative power relationships and the incentives and disincentives states face in their considerations of acting to change the formal and informal rules that govern their interactions. In order to extend the theory to minor powers, careful consideration must be paid to identifying the international sub-systems within which such states interact. This leads to a new operational definition of regional sub-systems. Armed with this notion of what constitutes a region, I press ahead with the application of power transition theory to analysis of minor power interactions and find that in spite of considerable similarity between what transpires within these regional sub-systems and within the overall international system, there are nevertheless some differences. Thus my extension of power transition theory to minor power regions requires the definition of regional sub-systems and then raises a followup question of why, despite some basic similarity, persistent differences distinguish some of those regions.
In writing the book I thus begin with one, but quickly come to have three tasks. First, modify power transition theory so that it applies to minor as well as great power interactions. Second, define minor power regional sub-systems and then analyze the modified version of power transition theory within those regional sub-systems. Third, attempt to account for the fact that, in spite of a reasonable amount of similarity across the regions, there still are some persistent differences. Although I list these three tasks sequentially, they are interrelated pieces of the puzzle of when and why wars break out between states. The conditions which my version of power transition theory suggests make war more likely do appear to affect when wars occur. A plausible case that these conditions say something about why the wars break out when they do can be made. But there remains an unanswered question of whythese conditions are more important in some regions than others. I believe the question remains because the processes of political and economic development not only affect when and why wars break out between states, but also because the developmental process cannot be separated from the wars themselves. Thus, there are persistent differences across regions of the international system because the processes of political and economic development are not evenly achieved around the globe.
My conclusion is that we can understand a significant amount of the war and peace interactions of both great powers and minor powers by paying attention to the hypothesized causes of war suggested by my modification of power transition theory. However, the rest of the story about war and peace interactions remains hidden unless we allow for the cross-regional differences I uncover. I think these differences indicate that at later stages of development, states are more likely to wage war given the conditions central to power transition theory. The more developed states are, the more applicable power transition theory is to their behavior. In a sense, then, the usefulness of power transition theory and my extension increases as national development progresses. The fundamental, and I think fascinating, resulting question is what accounts for the poorer fit of the theory at early stages of development? I begin to address this question toward the end of this book, but necessarily provide only a very crude first attempt. Even that crude first analysis, however, suggests how we might better proceed in the future as we try to address the question.
19th century american fiction on screen.
19th century american novel
1549.rebellions.making.early.mod.england
A
A Natural History of Pragmatism
AEF way of war.
Africans History of a continent
Age in the welfare state
American ballot box mid 19th century
American constitution debate originalism
American language of rights
American literary realism
American puritan elegy
American puritan elegy
At wars end
Aliens.in.medieval.law.
Allegories.union.english.irish.writing
Anglo.saxon.perceptions.islamic.world
Anti.jacobean.novel
Aquinas.on.the.passions
Architects.of.political.change
Argument.authority.early.mod.england
B
Bachelors manhood novel
Bankruptcy of empire
Bazaar and state Iran
Beyond anarchical society
Blacked out government secrecy
Blues and gospel music
British.democracy.irish.nationalism
British.Political.Thought.in.History,.Literature.and.Theory,.1500-1800
British.romanticism.science.of.mind
Brittany.and.angevins
Byzantium.Ottomans.Latins
Business.of.empire
C
Commercial.agreement.medieval.genoa
Capitalism democracy welfare
Catastrophe contention rural china
Cambridge.street.names
Choosing.to.die
Changing white attitutes towards black leadership
Chomsky--on_nature_and_language
Christian theology asia
Christian wisdom
Chronologers quest
Church and state america
Classical foundations american constitution
Congress progressive reform
Constructing civil liberties
Constructing the U.S. Rapprochement With China, 1961-1974
Consumerism american girls literature
Contemporary american playwrights
Contemporary german fiction
Contesting citizenship latin america
Correspondence and american literature
Court and politics papal rome
Courts under constraints
Creation american common law
Crisis of imprisonment
Crony capitalism
Crucibles of Political Loyalty
Cultural contestation ethnic conflict
Cultural translation early mod europe
Cultural Trauma
Culture of vengeance fate american justice
Contesting.the.gothic
Crime.gender.social.order.early.mod.england
Crisis.of.literature.1790s
D
Darwins plots
Decentralized authoritarianism china
Demise american convention system
Democracy and Coercive Diplomacy
Democracy by force
Democracy from above
Democratizing hegemonic state
Derek walcot
Design for a new europe
Dimensions private law
Disappearance social in american social psychology
Discovering levinas
Diverse communities
Drama theatre identity
Dred scott constitutional evil
Dynamics of contention
Crisis.of.literature.1790s
Defining.jacobean.church
Defining.jacobean.church
Demonic.possession.exorcism.early.mod.england
Desire.dramatic.form.early.england
Drama.of.coronation
Duel.in.early.mod.england
E
Early american women critics
Edith wharton politics race
Exile and journey
Explaining history american foreign relations
Early.history.of.greed
English.wits
Epic.and.empire.19th.cen.britain
Ethics.nostalgia.contemporary.novel
Englands.troubles
Eating.and.drinking.roman.britain
F
Family kinship sympathy
Far enemy why jihad went global
Faustian foreign policy
Final freedom
First way of war
Foundations ethnic politics
Franco -Prussian war
From buildings and loans to bail outs
From Modernism to Postmodernism
Fabrications.of.empire
Fashioning.adultery.
Foxe's.Book.Martyr
G
Gender race writing of empire
Genesis industrial america
Global brands
Gender.work.wages.industrial.revolution.britain
Global.south.asians
Greek.tragedy.political.philosophy
H
Henry james and father question
Henry James and Queer Modernity
Holmes legal theory judical restraint
How institutions evolve
Hanoverian.dimension.british.history
Heroes.and.martyrs.palestine
History.and.supernatural.medieval.england
Hobbes.Bramhall.
Human.rights.in.war.on.terror
Hypocrisy.and.politics.politeness
I
Illegal beings
Inside rebellion
International justice rwanda balkans
Intro to Law 7th ed
Introduction Feng Shui
Irans intellectual revolution
Irish english
Irish opinion and american revolution
Is the Welfare State Justified
Israels holocaust politics nationhood
Ideology.empire.britian
Imagination.under.pressure
Intellectual.foundations.benedictine.reform
Islam.social.change.french.africa
Italian.encounter.tudor.england
J
Japanese Frames of Mind
Judges beyond politics
Judicial review in new democracies
John.Lydgate.and.the.Making.of.Public.Culture
Judicial.assessment.expert.evidence
K
Kinship law and unexpected
L
Language in USA
Law and colonial cultures
Law and ethics restitution
Law and Nature
Law in united states 2nd ed
Legislative leviathan
Liberalism democracy development
Latin.sermon.collections
Latin.sermon.collections
Law.empire.english.renaissance.literature
Linguistics.of.speech
Literary.magazine.british.romanticism
Literature.favoritism.early.mod.england
Literature.favoritism.early.mod.england
Literature.religious.culture.17th.cen.england
M
Making of racial sentiment
Mandates and democracy
Marketing of rebellion
Marriage violence nation literary west
Masters of illusion
Media concentration and democracy
Memory power post war europe
Modernization cultural change democracy
Moral force indigenous politics
Multilingual america
Mathematics.behavior
Men.woman.and.property.england
Modernism.and.WW2
Modernist.novel.decline.empire
Money.and.the.End.of.Empire.
Multiparty.Democracy
Muslims.and.the.State.in.Britain,.France,.and.Germany
N
Native vote
Naval blockades peace and war
New essays billy budd
New race politics america
O
Offshoring information technology
Ordering knowledge roman empire
Origins american literature studies
Origins evolution islamic law
Oral.culture.and.catholicism.
Oral.culture.and.catholicism.
Order.and.anarchy
P
Party competition between unequals
Past as prologue
Patriots politics oklahoma city bombing
Poe and printed word
Poetics national identity
Political thought king alfred great
Political women american democracy
Politics and people revolutionary russia
Politics and power early med europe
Politics of moral capital
Politics volunteering japan
Power and patronage early med italy
Power politics religion timurid iran
Presidential leadership illness decision making
Press politics public sphere
Price of peace
Prison and the gallows
Prison state
Providence and invention united states
Public Debt and the Birth of the Democratic State
Pure and simple politics
Parliaments.politics.cromwellian
Paine.and.literature.revolution
Party.discipline.parliamentary.politics.
Philosophy.new.century
Politics.of.religion.age.of.Mary
Politics.social.conflict
Popular.politics.and.english.reformation
Press.censorship.caroline.england
R
Race american literature transnational modernisms
Race nationalism and the state
Race slavery liberalism
Race, Citizenship, and Law in American Literature
Re-writing french revolutionary tradition
Rebuilding Germany
Rebuilding leviathan
Reconceiving the family
Regions of war and peace
Religion war resistance plowshares movement
Religious conviction liberal politics
Remembering partition
Restoring free speech and liberty on campus
Rise of a jazz art world
Ritual of rights japan
Roots of Hate~ Anti Semitism in Europe Before the Holocaust
Routine politics violence argentina
Rule by law
Russian roots nazism
Rational.extremism
Reading.heinrich.heine
Reading.society.politics.early.mod.england
Reconstruction.church.ireland
Rejecting.Rights.
Religion.toleration.british.writing.
Repossessing.romantic.past
Restoration.and.reform
Revelation.god.israel
Romantic.national.tale.question.ireland
Romanticism.aesthetics.nationalism
Romanticism.rise.mass.public
S
Sacred and secular
Search for american political development
Shadows of total war
Slavery philosophy american literature
Society and discourse
Spirit of 1914
State repression domestic democratic peace
Statius and Epic Games
Stories of peoplehood
Study of language 3rd ed
Synergies minority protection
T
The Aesthetics and Politics of the Crowd in American Literature
The dynamic constitution
The Escape from Hunger and Premature Death, 1700-2100
The European Convention on Human Rights
The Judicial Application of Human Rights Law~ National, Regional and International Jurisprudence
The Political Origins of Religious Liberty
The United States and Right-wing Dictatorships, 1965-1989
Theft of history
Theology of public life
Third world theologies
Threat of force international law
Total lobbying
Transamerican literary relation
Transition of power
Treason and the state
Triumph forsaken Vietnam war
Trust and rule
Two Cultures of Rights
U
Unfinished business cuba
Union and empire
United states since 1980
US in asia pacific since 1945
V
Vietnam american political tradition
Votes and Violence
Voting for autocracy
W
War land on eastern front
Wealth into power
Work of global justice
Wounds of memory



